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Latest news item

Two major U.S. investment banks, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, published reports on Argentina's macroeconomic scenario and its outlook for the financial market in 2025. Both agreed on the importance of the country reaching a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to advance in a gradual process of eliminating the exchange rate clamp.
Morgan Stanley Outlook
The Morgan Stanley report warned that Argentina' s current account showed signs of deterioration in the second half of 2024. However, he noted that a surplus in the financial account could make up for this shortfall. The IMF projected an initial disbursement of USD 5 billion by the IMF in 2025, as part of a program that could reach USD 20 billion, subject to compliance with fiscal and monetary conditions.
According to the analysis, the elimination of exchange restrictions will be progressive and will depend on the accumulation of international reserves. Morgan Stanley estimated that Argentina's central bank (BCRA) could increase its net reserves by USD 7 billion during the year, which would provide room for further flexibility in foreign exchange market access.
Bank of America Analysis
For its part, Bank of America highlighted that the Argentine government's fiscal adjustment strategy made it possible to reduce country risk and improve access to external financing. The bank agreed with the expectation of an agreement with the IMF in the first half of 2025, specifically before April. In addition, it projected that initial disbursements could range between USD 5,000 and USD 10,000 million, which would strengthen the BCRA's position.
Accumulation of reserves and exit strategy from the clamps
Morgan Stanley analyzed in detail the relationship between exchange rate policy and reserve accumulation. According to its projections, the country's financial account could generate a surplus of USD 9,800 million in 2025, driven by disbursements from multilateral organizations, corporate financing and purchases of foreign currency by the private sector.
In this scenario, the exit from the exchange clamp would take place in a staggered manner. The entity projected that the Government would advance in the normalization of the payment of imports and in the flexibility of access to the financial dollar. However, it would maintain restrictions on the purchase of foreign currency by individuals and companies until reserves reach an adequate level.
Agreement with the IMF and access to international credit
Bank of America stressed that the success of the economic program underway will depend on the government's ability to negotiate a new agreement with the IMF. This agreement would allow debt payments to be refinanced and fiscal sustainability to be improved.
Morgan Stanley also emphasized that the relationship with the IMF is decisive for the evolution of country risk. If the government manages to advance in a new program with credible fiscal and monetary targets, sovereign bonds could continue their upward trend, improving financing conditions.
However, the Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, referred to the market speculation about the agreement with the IMF. On his X account (formerly Twitter), he ironized: "Nothing that is being said about the agreement with the Fund is correct. It's hard to miss everything, but they're succeeding!".
Risks and challenges for the economic program
Both banks identified several risks that could affect Argentina's economic and financial stability in 2025. Among the main factors of uncertainty were:
- Delays in the negotiation with the IMF, which could generate tensions in the debt market.
- An insufficient level of international reserves, which would make it difficult to get out of the exchange clamp in an orderly manner.
- A context of real appreciation of the peso, which could harm the competitiveness of exports.
- External shocks that affect access to financing, also related to exchange rate appreciation.
Two major U.S. investment banks, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, published reports on Argentina's macroeconomic scenario and its outlook for the financial market in 2025. Both agreed on the importance of the country reaching a new agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to advance in a gradual process of eliminating the exchange rate clamp.
Morgan Stanley Outlook
The Morgan Stanley report warned that Argentina' s current account showed signs of deterioration in the second half of 2024. However, he noted that a surplus in the financial account could make up for this shortfall. The IMF projected an initial disbursement of USD 5 billion by the IMF in 2025, as part of a program that could reach USD 20 billion, subject to compliance with fiscal and monetary conditions.
According to the analysis, the elimination of exchange restrictions will be progressive and will depend on the accumulation of international reserves. Morgan Stanley estimated that Argentina's central bank (BCRA) could increase its net reserves by USD 7 billion during the year, which would provide room for further flexibility in foreign exchange market access.
Bank of America Analysis
For its part, Bank of America highlighted that the Argentine government's fiscal adjustment strategy made it possible to reduce country risk and improve access to external financing. The bank agreed with the expectation of an agreement with the IMF in the first half of 2025, specifically before April. In addition, it projected that initial disbursements could range between USD 5,000 and USD 10,000 million, which would strengthen the BCRA's position.
Accumulation of reserves and exit strategy from the clamps
Morgan Stanley analyzed in detail the relationship between exchange rate policy and reserve accumulation. According to its projections, the country's financial account could generate a surplus of USD 9,800 million in 2025, driven by disbursements from multilateral organizations, corporate financing and purchases of foreign currency by the private sector.
In this scenario, the exit from the exchange clamp would take place in a staggered manner. The entity projected that the Government would advance in the normalization of the payment of imports and in the flexibility of access to the financial dollar. However, it would maintain restrictions on the purchase of foreign currency by individuals and companies until reserves reach an adequate level.
Agreement with the IMF and access to international credit
Bank of America stressed that the success of the economic program underway will depend on the government's ability to negotiate a new agreement with the IMF. This agreement would allow debt payments to be refinanced and fiscal sustainability to be improved.
Morgan Stanley also emphasized that the relationship with the IMF is decisive for the evolution of country risk. If the government manages to advance in a new program with credible fiscal and monetary targets, sovereign bonds could continue their upward trend, improving financing conditions.
However, the Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, referred to the market speculation about the agreement with the IMF. On his X account (formerly Twitter), he ironized: "Nothing that is being said about the agreement with the Fund is correct. It's hard to miss everything, but they're succeeding!".
Risks and challenges for the economic program
Both banks identified several risks that could affect Argentina's economic and financial stability in 2025. Among the main factors of uncertainty were:
- Delays in the negotiation with the IMF, which could generate tensions in the debt market.
- An insufficient level of international reserves, which would make it difficult to get out of the exchange clamp in an orderly manner.
- A context of real appreciation of the peso, which could harm the competitiveness of exports.
- External shocks that affect access to financing, also related to exchange rate appreciation.
The last note

Vegetables sown in February in the southern hemisphere.
Chard
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 7 to 9 days
Transplanting: 20 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: arugula, tomato, carrot, beans Harmful
association: none
Artichoke
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct or nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 4 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 1 year on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, beans, lettuce, radishes Harmful
association: none
Celery
Place: full sun
Sowing: nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 0.5 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 15 to 20 days
Harvest: 2 months on full moon
Beneficial association: eggplant, broccoli, cauliflower, spinach, cucumber, lettuce, beans, leek, cabbage, radish Harmful
association: potato and carrot
Broccoli
Place: semi shade
Sowing: nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 1.5 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 5 to 10 days
Harvest: 2 to 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, basil, celery, nasturtium, onion, coriander, dill, lettuce, chamomile, mint, oregano, potato, beans, beetroot, rue, thyme
Harmful association: strawberries, tomato
Onion
Location: full
sun Sowing: direct in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 15 days
Harvest: 3 to 6 months on the new moon
Beneficial association: eggplant, broccoli, corn, strawberry, lettuce, melon, cucumber, leek, beetroot, cabbage, watermelon, tomato, carrot, Italian squash
Harmful association: peas, cauliflower, beans
Green onion (chives)
Location: full sun
Sowing: last quarter seedling
Sowing depth: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 15 days
Transplanting: 20 days
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on the new moon
Beneficial association: tomato, carrot
Harmful association: peas, beans, beans
Chives
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Charity: carrot
Cilantro
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 12 days
Harvest: 2 months on full moon
Beneficial association: none
Harmful association: none
Cauliflower
Location: full shade
Sowing: crescent seedling
Sowing depth: max. 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 6 to 10 days
Transplanting: 3 months
Harvest: 6 to 7 months on full moon
Beneficial association: basil, celery, parsley, beetroot, beans, tomato
Harmful association: onion, strawberry, potato, cabbage
Spinach
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct on crescent moon
Sowing depth: 2 cm
Watering: moderate
Germination: 8 to 10 days
Harvest: 2 months, crescent moon
Beneficial association: garlic, celery, peas, eggplant, strawberry, cucumber, beans, leek, tomato
Harmful association: fennel, potato, cucumber, beetroot
Lettuce
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 5 to 10 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chili pepper, garlic, artichoke, spinach, turnip, broad beans, melon, leek, radish, pumpkin, tomato, rue, cucumber, oregano, cabbage, watermelon
Harmful association: celery, parsley, sunflower, watercress
Melon
Place: semi-shade
Sowing: direct or in nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 3 to 4 cm.
Watering: normal
Germination: 3 to 7 days
Transplanting: 30 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on a full moon
Charity: chard, broccoli, corn, lettuce
Turnip
Place: semi-shade
Sowing: direct or in a nursery in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 3 to 4 cm.
Watering: abundant
Germination: 6 to 8 days
Transplanting: 15 to 20 days
Harvest: 3 months on the new moon
Charity: peas, lettuce, cucumber, beetroot, cabbage
Harmful association: radish
Potato
Location: full sun
Sowing: direct in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 7 to 8 cm (plant pieces of potato or seed potato)
Watering: normal, one week before harvesting do not water
Germination: 20 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on the new moon
Charity: eggplant, corn, broccoli, beans, leek, radish, cabbage, carrot
Harmful association: chili pepper, garlic, peas, strawberry, sunflower, cucumber, watermelon, tomato, pumpkin, Italian squash
Parsley
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of planting: 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 7 to 25 days
Harvest: 1 month on full moon
Beneficial association: chili pepper, broccoli, green onion, chives, cauliflower, asparagus, corn, bell pepper, beans, cabbage, tomato
Harmful association: coriander, dill, fennel, lettuce, carrot
Leek
Place: semi shade
Sowing: nursery in the last quarter
Sowing depth: 1 to 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 10 to 12 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 4 to 5 months in new moon
Charity: garlic, celery, onion, spinach, strawberry, lettuce, potato, beetroot, cabbage, tomato, carrot
Harmful association: peas, broad beans, beans, radish
Cabbage
Place: full sun
Sowing: in nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 6 to 9 days
Transplanting: 30 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chard, celery, peas, dill, spinach, broad bean, lettuce, chamomile, mint, bell pepper, turnip, oregano, potato, cucumber, leek, beetroot, rosemary, rue, tomato, thyme
harmful association: garlic, strawberries, beans
Rosemary
Location: full sun
Sowing: in nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 15 to 30 days
Transplanting: 2 months
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on full moon
Beneficial association: cabbage, beans, carrots Harmful
association: none
Rocket
Location: full sun
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: max. 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 8 to 10 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chard, eggplant, tomato, pepper
Harmful association: radish, cabbage, turnip
Watermelon
Place: full sun
Sowing: direct or nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 3 to 4 cm
Watering: normal, avoid wetting leaves
Germination: 6 to 8 days
Transplanting: 1 month
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, onions, corn, lettuce Harmful
association: potato
Carrot
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in the last quarter
Sowing depth: 1 to 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Harvest: 4 months on the new moon
Charity: chard, garlic, peas, eggplant, onion, broccoli, green onion, chives, cilantro, spinach, beans, cucumber, lettuce, bell pepper, tomato, sage
Harmful association: celery, coriander, dill, parsley, mint, fennel
Vegetables sown in February in the southern hemisphere.
Chard
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 7 to 9 days
Transplanting: 20 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: arugula, tomato, carrot, beans Harmful
association: none
Artichoke
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct or nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 4 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 1 year on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, beans, lettuce, radishes Harmful
association: none
Celery
Place: full sun
Sowing: nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 0.5 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 15 to 20 days
Harvest: 2 months on full moon
Beneficial association: eggplant, broccoli, cauliflower, spinach, cucumber, lettuce, beans, leek, cabbage, radish Harmful
association: potato and carrot
Broccoli
Place: semi shade
Sowing: nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 1.5 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 5 to 10 days
Harvest: 2 to 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, basil, celery, nasturtium, onion, coriander, dill, lettuce, chamomile, mint, oregano, potato, beans, beetroot, rue, thyme
Harmful association: strawberries, tomato
Onion
Location: full
sun Sowing: direct in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 15 days
Harvest: 3 to 6 months on the new moon
Beneficial association: eggplant, broccoli, corn, strawberry, lettuce, melon, cucumber, leek, beetroot, cabbage, watermelon, tomato, carrot, Italian squash
Harmful association: peas, cauliflower, beans
Green onion (chives)
Location: full sun
Sowing: last quarter seedling
Sowing depth: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 15 days
Transplanting: 20 days
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on the new moon
Beneficial association: tomato, carrot
Harmful association: peas, beans, beans
Chives
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Charity: carrot
Cilantro
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 10 to 12 days
Harvest: 2 months on full moon
Beneficial association: none
Harmful association: none
Cauliflower
Location: full shade
Sowing: crescent seedling
Sowing depth: max. 1 cm
Watering: abundant
Germination: 6 to 10 days
Transplanting: 3 months
Harvest: 6 to 7 months on full moon
Beneficial association: basil, celery, parsley, beetroot, beans, tomato
Harmful association: onion, strawberry, potato, cabbage
Spinach
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct on crescent moon
Sowing depth: 2 cm
Watering: moderate
Germination: 8 to 10 days
Harvest: 2 months, crescent moon
Beneficial association: garlic, celery, peas, eggplant, strawberry, cucumber, beans, leek, tomato
Harmful association: fennel, potato, cucumber, beetroot
Lettuce
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 5 to 10 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chili pepper, garlic, artichoke, spinach, turnip, broad beans, melon, leek, radish, pumpkin, tomato, rue, cucumber, oregano, cabbage, watermelon
Harmful association: celery, parsley, sunflower, watercress
Melon
Place: semi-shade
Sowing: direct or in nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 3 to 4 cm.
Watering: normal
Germination: 3 to 7 days
Transplanting: 30 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on a full moon
Charity: chard, broccoli, corn, lettuce
Turnip
Place: semi-shade
Sowing: direct or in a nursery in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 3 to 4 cm.
Watering: abundant
Germination: 6 to 8 days
Transplanting: 15 to 20 days
Harvest: 3 months on the new moon
Charity: peas, lettuce, cucumber, beetroot, cabbage
Harmful association: radish
Potato
Location: full sun
Sowing: direct in the waning quarter
Sowing depth: 7 to 8 cm (plant pieces of potato or seed potato)
Watering: normal, one week before harvesting do not water
Germination: 20 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on the new moon
Charity: eggplant, corn, broccoli, beans, leek, radish, cabbage, carrot
Harmful association: chili pepper, garlic, peas, strawberry, sunflower, cucumber, watermelon, tomato, pumpkin, Italian squash
Parsley
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of planting: 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 7 to 25 days
Harvest: 1 month on full moon
Beneficial association: chili pepper, broccoli, green onion, chives, cauliflower, asparagus, corn, bell pepper, beans, cabbage, tomato
Harmful association: coriander, dill, fennel, lettuce, carrot
Leek
Place: semi shade
Sowing: nursery in the last quarter
Sowing depth: 1 to 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 10 to 12 days
Transplanting: 30 days
Harvest: 4 to 5 months in new moon
Charity: garlic, celery, onion, spinach, strawberry, lettuce, potato, beetroot, cabbage, tomato, carrot
Harmful association: peas, broad beans, beans, radish
Cabbage
Place: full sun
Sowing: in nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 0.5 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 6 to 9 days
Transplanting: 30 to 40 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chard, celery, peas, dill, spinach, broad bean, lettuce, chamomile, mint, bell pepper, turnip, oregano, potato, cucumber, leek, beetroot, rosemary, rue, tomato, thyme
harmful association: garlic, strawberries, beans
Rosemary
Location: full sun
Sowing: in nursery in crescent
Depth of planting: 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 15 to 30 days
Transplanting: 2 months
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on full moon
Beneficial association: cabbage, beans, carrots Harmful
association: none
Rocket
Location: full sun
Sowing: direct in crescent
Depth of sowing: max. 1 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 8 to 10 days
Harvest: 3 months on full moon
Beneficial association: chard, eggplant, tomato, pepper
Harmful association: radish, cabbage, turnip
Watermelon
Place: full sun
Sowing: direct or nursery in crescent
Depth of sowing: 3 to 4 cm
Watering: normal, avoid wetting leaves
Germination: 6 to 8 days
Transplanting: 1 month
Harvest: 3 to 4 months on full moon
Beneficial association: peas, onions, corn, lettuce Harmful
association: potato
Carrot
Place: semi shade
Sowing: direct in the last quarter
Sowing depth: 1 to 2 cm
Watering: normal
Germination: 12 to 15 days
Harvest: 4 months on the new moon
Charity: chard, garlic, peas, eggplant, onion, broccoli, green onion, chives, cilantro, spinach, beans, cucumber, lettuce, bell pepper, tomato, sage
Harmful association: celery, coriander, dill, parsley, mint, fennel